Find out how TransferRoom's potential ratings are calculated and where you can find them.
Tactical Rundown:
The potential rating is a prediction of the level the player’s Player Rating could reach in an optimistic scenario. It is defined as the top 10% of outcomes of historical benchmarks for players of the same position, who were at a similar level at the same age as the player is now.
To calculate a player's Potential Rating, we take the following steps:
- For any given player we collect the benchmark set of all players in the same position who had a similar Player Rating at the same age.
- Then we look at the maximum rating the benchmark players peaked at during their career, and sort those largest to smallest.
- We take the 90th percentile of these maximum ratings as the player's potential - i.e. they have a 1 in 10 chance of reaching this level.
Note: the smallest benchmark rating in that list by definition is the same as the player's current rating. Therefore potential can never be lower than current rating.
Predictive modelling is used to support the projections in cases where a player has very few historical comparisons.
Where can I see the Potential Rating?
You can see the Potential Rating next to the Player Rating in the top right corner of the player profile. The potential rating is in brackets.
